AI 2027

We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. The CEOs of OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic have all predicted that AGI will arrive within the next 5 years. Sam Altman has said OpenAI is setting its sights on "superintelligence in the true sense of the word" and the "glorious future." It's tempting to dismiss this as just hype. This would be a grave mistake-it is not just hype. We have no desire to hype AI ourselves, yet we also think it is strikingly plausible that superintelligence could arrive by the end of the decade. If we're on the cusp of superintelligence, society is nowhere near prepared. Very few people have even attempted to articulate any plausible path through the development of superintelligence. We wrote AI 2027 to fil that gap, providing much needed concrete detail. We would love to see more work like this in the world, especially from people who disagree with us. We hope that by doing this, we'll spark a broad conversation about where we're headed and how to steer toward positive futures.